Will The Modernists Inherit The Earth? The Dismal Prospects for Secular Liberalism

Steve Turley takes a fascinating look at the inevitable decline of liberal secularism. Part of it deals with birthrates. Here is a short excerpt. For the entire article, click the link at the end.

Everywhere one looks today, it appears that proponents of secular liberalism are celebrating another social victory lap. On June 26, 2015, in a five-to-four decision, the United States Supreme Court declared that states cannot deny homosexual couples the right to marriage. The first openly gay football player, Michael Sam, was (temporarily) drafted into the NFL, and the public criticism tweeted subsequently by the Miami Dolphins’ safety Don Jones resulted in a mandatory fine and sensitivity training. The popular social media site Facebook now has over 50 self-identifying gender options, such as ‘gender fluid,’ ‘genderqueer,’ ‘agender,’ and ‘bigender.’ Several states have passed ‘gender neutral’ public restroom laws, and the annual Eurovision Song Contest crowned as its 2014 winner Conchita Wurst, a bearded transvestite.

However, there are several significant indicators brewing under the surface that demur dramatically from such triumphalistic prognostications, suggesting a considerable gap between the rhetoric and the reality; the future, as it turns out, is actually rather dire for secular liberalism.

According to University of London scholar Eric Kaufmann’s detailed study on global demographic trends, we are in the early stages of nothing less than a demographic revolution. In Kaufmann’s words, “religious fundamentalists are on course to take over the world.”[1] There is a significant demographic deficit between secularists and conservative religionists. For example, in the U.S., while self-identified non-religionist women averaged only 1.5 children per couple in 2002, conservative evangelical women averaged 2.5 children, representing a 28 percent fertility edge. Kaufmann notes that this demographic deficit has dramatic effects over time. In a population evenly divided, these numbers indicate that conservative evangelicals would increase from 50 to 62.5 percent of the population in a single generation. In two generations, their number would increase to 73.5 percent, and over the course of 200 years, they would represent 99.4 percent. The Amish and Mormons provide contemporary illustrations of the compound effect of endogamous growth. The Amish double in population every twenty years, and projections have the Amish numbering over a million in the U.S. and Canada in just a few decades. Since 1830, Mormon growth has averaged 40 percent per decade, which means that by 2080, there may be as many as 267 million Mormons in the world, making them by 2100 anywhere from one to six percent of the world’s population.

 

FOR THE ENTIRE ARTICLE: http://turleytalks.com/will-the-modernists-inherit-the-earth-the-dismal-prospects-for-secular-liberalism/?utm_content=buffer5e1e5&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

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